Yunnan Aluminium (000807) 德邦证券·2025-03-31 03:17Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Views - The company achieved a total operating revenue of 54.45 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 27.61%. The total profit reached 5.972 billion yuan, up 7.74% year-on-year, and the net profit attributable to the parent company was 4.412 billion yuan, an increase of 11.52% year-on-year [7] - The production of electrolytic aluminum increased significantly, with a historical high of 2.9383 million tons in 2024, a year-on-year growth of 22.45%. The average price of electrolytic aluminum in 2024 was approximately 19,921.61 yuan per ton, up about 6.5% from 2023 [7] - The company is expected to continue its upward production trend in 2025, with production targets set at approximately 3.01 million tons of electrolytic aluminum and 141,000 tons of alumina [7] - The decline in alumina costs is anticipated to enhance electrolytic aluminum profits, with the average price of alumina as of March 25, 2025, being 3,160.00 yuan per ton, down about 43.6% from the beginning of the year [7] - The company forecasts total operating revenues of 57.4 billion yuan, 58.8 billion yuan, and 60.4 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 6.8 billion yuan, 7.3 billion yuan, and 8.0 billion yuan for the same years [7] Financial Data Summary - Total shares outstanding: 3,467.96 million shares [6] - Market capitalization: 60,238.42 million yuan [6] - Revenue forecast for 2024: 54,450 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 27.6% [8] - Net profit forecast for 2024: 4,412 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 11.5% [8] - Earnings per share (EPS) for 2024: 1.27 yuan [8] - Gross margin for 2024: 13.2% [8] - Return on equity (ROE) for 2024: 15.6% [8]