Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the anticipation of Kevin Warsh being nominated as the new Federal Reserve Chairman, which has led to a significant drop in the prices of non-ferrous stocks [1] - The market prediction for Warsh's nomination has surged to 87% according to Polymarket, indicating strong market sentiment towards a hawkish candidate [1] - The report from Guojin Securities outlines the main logic for the non-ferrous sector this year, highlighting low supply due to low capital expenditure, domestic anti-competition measures, and overseas resource nationalism [1] Group 2 - The demand for non-ferrous metals is driven by AI, new energy, and the reconstruction of manufacturing in Europe and the US [1] - The report emphasizes strong inventory replenishment due to low existing inventories across supply chains and the initiation of a national reserve cycle in the US [1] - Despite recent price volatility due to regional issues, the fundamental outlook for commodity prices remains strong, with macroeconomic fluctuations being the only potential disruptor [1] Group 3 - As of January 30, 2026, the non-ferrous metal industry index (399395) saw significant declines in major stocks, with Nanshan Aluminum leading at a drop of 10.05% [2] - The non-ferrous ETF Penghua (159880) decreased by 8.66%, with a latest price of 2.39 yuan and a net inflow of 11 million units over the past seven days [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the non-ferrous metal industry index account for 51.65% of the index, including companies like Zijin Mining and Ganfeng Lithium [2]

Group 1: Strategy Overview - The report emphasizes the resilience of the A-share market amidst multiple overseas risks and signals of regulatory easing in China, suggesting that the relationship between market performance and regulatory changes warrants further consideration [5][12] - It highlights the significant outperformance of the A-share market compared to other major indices, particularly the CSI 300, which has faced substantial redemption pressure [5][12] - The report suggests that investors should not overly worry about the CSI 300's performance, as it has already aligned with regulatory easing requirements, reducing the necessity for further pressure [5][12] Group 2: Economic Insights - China's exports continued to show strong performance in December, driven by overseas investment during a global easing cycle, positively impacting sectors like electrical and mechanical equipment [6][13] - Domestic consumption is recovering, with a rebound in per capita consumer spending in the fourth quarter, aligning with the report's annual strategy predictions [6][13] - The report notes that recent government policies aimed at boosting domestic demand and stabilizing real estate are expected to support synchronized recovery in both domestic and external demand [6][13] Group 3: Asset Allocation and Investment Recommendations - The report identifies a dual focus for 2026 on physical assets and Chinese assets, with thematic investments being essential [7][16] - Recommended sectors include physical assets such as copper, aluminum, tin, gold, lithium, and oil, alongside Chinese equipment export chains like electrical grid equipment and renewable energy [7][16] - The report also highlights sectors benefiting from capital market expansion and improving long-term asset returns, such as non-bank financials and consumer sectors like aviation and duty-free retail [7][16] Group 4: Company-Specific Insights - **Yunnan Aluminum Co. (000807.SZ)**: The report recommends a long-term investment due to favorable conditions for aluminum exports and a strong balance sheet, with potential for increased dividends [18] - **Hua Aluminum (600301.SH)**: The company is seen as a strong growth candidate due to rising tin and antimony prices and its position as a key beneficiary of metal consolidation in Guangxi [19] - **Yingliu Co. (603308.SH)**: The report anticipates a surge in global gas turbine demand, positioning the company to increase its market share in turbine blades [20] - **Shangfeng Cement (000672.SZ)**: The company is recognized for its strong cash flow from cement operations and potential for significant dividends [21] - **Pop Mart (9992.HK)**: The company is expected to maintain rapid growth in the entertainment market through IP incubation and diverse monetization strategies [22] - **China Duty Free Group (601888.SH)**: The company is projected to strengthen its market position in the duty-free sector, benefiting from increased inbound tourism and overseas expansion [24] - **China Southern Airlines (1055.HK)**: The airline is expected to benefit from improved industry supply-demand dynamics and a large fleet size [25] - **Li Auto (2015.HK)**: The company is focusing on advancements in AI and smart driving technology, with expectations for increased vehicle sales [26] - **Lante Optics (688127.SH)**: The company is positioned to benefit from strong demand in automotive and smart imaging sectors [27] - **InnoCare Pharma (9606.HK)**: The company is advancing in the ADC field with a robust pipeline and partnerships, with several products nearing clinical registration [29]

Group 1 - The interest of mutual funds in the Hong Kong market slightly decreased in Q4 of last year, with strong capital inflows into the metals and financial sectors [1] - By the end of 2025, the structure of stock holdings in equity and mixed mutual funds diversified, with the top 50 holdings' share of total stock investments dropping from 25.8% to 25.1% [1] - The proportion of Hong Kong stocks in mutual fund heavyweights decreased from a peak of 17.8% to 16.3% [1] Group 2 - Driven by global metal market trends, Chinese mutual funds significantly increased their investments in metal stocks in Q4, with a quarterly rise of 1.7 percentage points [2] - Fund managers showed optimism towards banks and diversified financials, with notable inflows into Industrial Bank and ICBC [2] - For Q1 2026, mutual funds are expected to have a higher risk tolerance post profit-taking, with AI and metals remaining key investment themes [2]

上市企业：中国铝业（601600）,天山铝业（002532）,南山铝业（600219）,云铝股份（000807）,神火股 份（000933）,中孚实业（600595）,焦作万方（000612）,宏创控股（002379）,闽发铝业（002578）,宁 波富邦（600768） 相关报告：智研咨询发布的《2026-2032年中国氧化铝行业发展模式分析及未来前景规划报告》 2020-2025年中国氧化铝产量统计图 数据来源：国家统计局，智研咨询整理 知前沿，问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构，十数年持续深耕产业研究领域，提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 务、敏锐的市场洞察力，专注于提供完善的产业解决方案，为您的投资决策赋能。 根据国家统计局数据显示：2025年12月中国氧化铝产量为801万吨，同比增长6.7%；2025年中国氧化铝 累计产量为9244.6万吨，累计增长8%。 ...

来源：格隆汇 温馨提示：财经最新动态随时看，请关注金投网APP。 万辰集团股东彭德建及其配偶范鸿娟拟分别减持不超120万股公司股份;天阳科技董事长兼总经理欧阳建平拟减持不超过3%股份;苏大 维格股东虞樟星拟减持不超过1.99%股份;艾德生物股东厦门科英拟减持不超过1.22%股份;勘设股份多名股东拟合计减持不超2.59%股 份;博众精工股东信科弘创拟减持不超过446.65万股公司股份;中钢洛耐股东国新双百壹号合计减持330.65万股股份;矩子科技董事兼高级 管理人员崔岺拟减持不超过30万股;宏昌科技股东金华宏合拟减持不超0.33%公司股份;美芯晟股东WI Harper Fund VII合计减持1%公司 股份;*ST新潮公司股票可能被终止上市;长江投资股票可能被实施退市风险警示 | | | 1月29日A股投资避雷针 | | --- | --- | --- | | 类别 | 公司 | 主要内容 | | 股东减持 | 万辰集团 | 彭德建及其配偶范鸿娟拟分别减持不超120万股公司股份 | | | 天阳科技 | 董事长兼总经理欧阳建平拟减持不超过3%股份 | | | 苏大维格 | 虞樟星拟减持不超过1.99%股份 | ...

本期业绩预减主要受主营业务影响，受 2025 年国际油价下行的影响，公司营业收入较去年同期下降 13 %，公司本年利润较上年同期有所下降。根据美国能源信息署（EIA） 公布数据显示，2025 年 WTI 月 平均价格为 65.46 美元/桶，较 2024 年的 76.55 美元/桶下降 14%。 证券之星消息，*ST新潮发布业绩预告，预计2025年全年营业收入72.6亿元。 公告中解释本次业绩变动的原因为： *ST新潮2025年三季报显示，前三季度公司主营收入56.59亿元，同比下降11.99%；归母净利润13.31亿 元，同比下降19.44%；扣非净利润13.31亿元，同比下降27.07%；其中2025年第三季度，公司单季度主 营收入16.86亿元，同比下降18.6%；单季度归母净利润3.73亿元，同比下降22.42%；单季度扣非净利润 3.73亿元，同比下降30.79%；负债率34.61%，财务费用8883.02万元，毛利率43.04%。 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理，由AI算法生成（网信算备310104345710301240019号），不构成 投资建议。 ...

内容概要：空调铝箔，作为空调制造业中不可或缺的关键材料，展现出卓越的轻量化、耐腐蚀及导热性能。随着空调的普及率提高，对铝箔的需求量也不断 增加，进而拉动行业产量上涨。数据显示，2021-2024年中国空调铝箔产量经历了明显的波动周期。2022年受疫情反复影响，空调市场消费增速有所下滑， 导致空调铝箔产量降至86万吨，同比下降14%。2023年中国空调在夏季极端高温天气推动下，市场需求逐渐回暖，空调铝箔产量也逐渐升温。2024年行业产 量继续增长，达到106万吨，同比上涨1.9%。然而，进入2025年，由于终端空调社会库存持续走高，铝箔产量预计将回落至102万吨，较2024年减产约4万 吨，降幅3.8%。 相关上市企业：鼎胜新材（603876）、东阳光（600673）、常铝股份（002160）、华峰铝业（601702）、宏创控股（002379）、万顺新材（300057）、明泰 铝业（601677）、永杰新材（603271）、中国铝业（601600）、云铝股份（000807）等。 相关企业：国铝高科（连云港）铝业有限公司、安徽金誉材料股份有限公司、镇江源龙铝业有限责任公司、西南铝业（集团）有限责任公司等。 关键词 ...

西南证券表示，贵金属与工业铜板块呈现积极扩张态势，资源优势企业持续增储扩产，海域金矿项目即 将投产，铜矿量增且利润贡献稳定，产能弹性显著，龙头企业多元布局资源，开发与服务业务稳步推 进，行业整体呈现增长潜力。 有色ETF鹏华紧密跟踪国证有色金属行业指数，国证有色金属行业指数参照国证行业分类标准，选取归 属于有色金属行业的规模和流动性突出的50只证券作为样本，反映了沪深北交易所有色金属行业上市公 司的整体收益表现，向市场提供细分行业的指数化投资标的。 避险情绪升温叠加降息预期，有色板块今日全线爆发，有色ETF鹏华(159880)收涨超7.3%，14只成分股 今日涨停。 截至2026年1月28日 15:00，国证有色金属行业指数(399395)强势上涨6.31%，成分股白银有色（维权） 上涨10.04%，中国铝业上涨10.02%，云南铜业上涨10.02%，铜陵有色，中金黄金等个股跟涨。有色 ETF鹏华(159880)上涨7.36%，最新价报2.6元。 有色ETF鹏华(159880)，场外联接(A：021296；C：021297；I：022886)。 数据显示，截至2025年12月31日，国证有色金属行业指数(39 ...

铜市场方面，赞比亚2025年铜产量增长8%至890346吨但未达100万吨目标，伦敦金属交易所期铜1月27 日失守13000美元关口，但人工智能数据中心高速增长、中国国家电网4万亿元升级投资将支撑长期需 求。白银联动走强，年内涨幅已超过55%，1月27日单日跳涨8%，芝加哥商品交易所1月27日调整部分 白银期货合约保证金比例至名义价值的11%，1月28日收盘后生效。锂、钨等品种中，赣锋锂业预计 2025年净利润11亿元-16.5亿元，同比扭亏为盈；钨金属价格持续上行，华锐精密近两个月先后发布三 次产品涨价通知函。 有色金属ETF基金（516650）紧密跟踪中证细分产业主题指数系列由细分有色、细分机械等7条指数组 成，分别从相关细分产业中选取规模较大、流动性较好的50家上市公司证券作为指数样本，前十大重仓 股包括山东黄金、中金黄金、兴业银锡等贵金属龙头。 风险提示：基金有风险，投资需谨慎。 1月28日早盘，沪深两市收涨，贵金属概念延续强势；截至收盘，有色金属ETF基金（516650）涨 5.30%，白银有色、云南铜业、中国铝业、铜陵有色、湖南黄金、西部黄金涨停，北方铜业、南山铝 业、华峰铝业、中金黄金涨超9%， ...

黄金、 有色金属板块午后持续拉升， 云铝股份、 华峰铝业、 中金黄金、 北方铜业、 赤峰黄金等20余 股涨停。 ...