LIUGONG(000528) 国投证券·2025-03-31 04:34Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a 6-month target price of 15.6 CNY, compared to the current stock price of 12.05 CNY [6]. Core Views - The company's performance in 2024 met expectations, with total revenue reaching 30.063 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 9.24%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.327 billion CNY, up 52.92% year-on-year [2][3]. - The company benefits from a steady growth in its core earthmoving machinery business and a strong export performance, with domestic sales growth outpacing industry averages [2][4]. - The company has implemented a three-pronged strategy that has enhanced its growth potential and operational efficiency [2]. Summary by Sections Product Segmentation - Earthmoving machinery generated revenue of 17.941 billion CNY, up 12.79% year-on-year, with domestic market share increasing by 1.3 percentage points and export revenue accounting for nearly 60% [3]. - Other engineering machinery and components achieved revenue of 9.079 billion CNY, a 2.96% increase year-on-year, with significant growth in mining machinery and high-altitude machinery exports [3]. - Prestressed machinery revenue reached 2.517 billion CNY, up 12.23% year-on-year, with notable increases in order amounts and overseas revenue [3]. Market Segmentation - Domestic revenue was 16.302 billion CNY, a 1.53% increase year-on-year, while overseas revenue reached 13.76 billion CNY, up 20.05% year-on-year, with emerging markets showing over 30% growth [4]. - The company's gross margin and net margin improved to 22.5% and 4.61%, respectively, driven by structural optimization and cost control measures [4]. Financial Projections - The company aims for a revenue target of 34.6 billion CNY in 2025, with net profit projected to reach 2.11 billion CNY, reflecting a growth rate of 58.9% [10]. - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are 34.83 billion CNY, 40.85 billion CNY, and 48.79 billion CNY, with corresponding growth rates of 15.8%, 17.3%, and 19.4% [10][12]. - The projected PE ratios for the same period are 11.5X, 8.3X, and 6X, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [10].