银星能源（000862）：以大代小减值短期业绩承压

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company's short-term performance is under pressure due to impairment losses from the "large for small" replacement strategy, while efficiency improvements in power generation are expected to contribute to long-term performance [7] - The company reported a revenue of 1.266 billion yuan for 2024, a decrease of 3.32% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 87 million yuan, down 45.82% year-on-year [7] - The company has a total installed capacity of 1.9168 million kilowatts in renewable energy, with wind power accounting for 1.6068 million kilowatts and solar power for 310,000 kilowatts [7] - The average on-grid electricity price for 2024 is expected to be 0.4934 yuan per kilowatt-hour, a decrease of 0.021 yuan per kilowatt-hour compared to the previous year [7] - The company is developing distributed photovoltaic projects backed by its parent company, China Aluminum Corporation, and has secured 18 projects totaling 210,700 kilowatts for 2024 [7] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 1.454 billion yuan, 1.588 billion yuan, and 1.722 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding growth rates of 14.90%, 9.21%, and 8.44% [6][8] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 153 million yuan, 171 million yuan, and 189 million yuan for 2025-2027, with growth rates of 76.07%, 11.77%, and 10.75% respectively [6][8] - The company's return on equity (ROE) is expected to improve from 2.05% in 2024 to 3.98% in 2027 [6][8] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 51.44 in 2024 to 23.60 in 2027 [6][8]