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FIT HON TENG(06088):业绩低于预期,静待5G、AIoT驱动

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 2.87 [6][4]. Core Views - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected to be USD 4.45 billion, representing a year-over-year growth of 6%, primarily driven by a recovery in server demand and the integration of Voltaira [1][3]. - The company's performance in 2H24 is expected to be impacted by a decline in smartphone connector prices and adjustments in the acoustic production line in Vietnam, leading to a revenue decrease of 1% year-over-year [2][1]. - The anticipated growth drivers for 2025 include 5G, AIoT, and audio products, with significant contributions expected from new AI server contracts and the establishment of AirPods assembly lines in India [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of USD 4.20 billion in 2023, with a projected increase to USD 4.45 billion in 2024 and USD 4.70 billion in 2025, reflecting growth rates of -7.4%, 6.1%, and 5.7% respectively [5][20]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to rise from USD 128.97 million in 2023 to USD 208.76 million in 2025, with growth rates of -23.97%, 19.20%, and 35.79% [5][20]. Segment Analysis - The smartphone segment is projected to decline by 10% in 2025 due to lower connector prices, while the network equipment segment is expected to grow significantly by 55% in 2025 due to increased demand from AI server clients [11][13]. - The audio segment is anticipated to become a core revenue source in 2025, supported by the launch of new assembly lines in India [3][4]. Valuation Metrics - The target price has been adjusted to HKD 2.87, based on a 12.9x PE ratio for 2025, aligning with comparable companies [4][14]. - The company's market capitalization is reported at HKD 18.02 billion, with a closing price of HKD 2.47 as of March 28 [7][14].