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恒瑞医药(600276):海外BD进展不断,有望重塑海外市场估值

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate-A" with a target price of 55.58 CNY for the next six months [3]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 27.985 billion CNY for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 22.63%, and a net profit of 6.337 billion CNY, up 47.28% year-on-year. The sales revenue from innovative drugs reached 13.892 billion CNY, growing by 30.60% year-on-year [1][2]. - The company has made significant progress in overseas business development (BD), achieving approximately 8 cooperation agreements since 2023, which are expected to enhance its international market presence and valuation [1][2]. - The company anticipates that 11 projects will be approved for market launch in 2025, 13 in 2026, and 23 in 2027, which are expected to drive revenue growth from innovative drugs [7]. Financial Summary - The projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 31.216 billion CNY, 35.320 billion CNY, and 39.863 billion CNY, respectively. The corresponding net profits are expected to be 7.091 billion CNY, 8.143 billion CNY, and 9.363 billion CNY [7][9]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for the same years are projected to be 1.11 CNY, 1.28 CNY, and 1.47 CNY, with price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 43.7, 38.1, and 33.1, respectively [7][9]. - The company’s net profit margin is expected to improve from 22.6% in 2024 to 23.5% in 2027, indicating a positive trend in profitability [9][11].