Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [7] Core Views - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of approximately 6.54 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 6.4%. However, net profit decreased by 11.9% to around 800 million, and attributable net profit fell by 13.3% to approximately 740 million [1] - The growth in revenue for 2024 was primarily driven by the increase in third-party business, which saw a year-on-year growth of 9.1% [1] - The company is focusing on product innovation and channel optimization to drive profit recovery, with expectations for improved profitability in the long term [5] Revenue and Profitability - The company's gross margin and net margin for 2024 were 31.3% and 12.2%, respectively, showing a decline of 0.3 percentage points and 2.6 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The revenue from related parties, third parties, and other dining customers was 1.97 billion, 4.38 billion, and 180 million, respectively, with third-party revenue growing by 8.2% [3] - The sales of hot pot base products, Chinese compound seasonings, and convenient fast food were 4.09 billion, 790 million, and 1.61 billion, respectively, with growth rates of -0.2%, +26.5%, and +15.7% [3] Product and Market Expansion - The company is implementing a "product project system" to enhance R&D efficiency and expand its B-end product matrix [5] - In 2024, the company achieved sales in 49 overseas countries and regions, further enriching its overseas market layout [5] - The company is focusing on optimizing its supply chain and enhancing market penetration through online and B-end market expansion [5] Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 7.14 billion, 7.79 billion, and 8.52 billion in 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding attributable net profits of 855 million, 947 million, and 1.048 billion [6] - The expected growth rates for revenue and attributable net profit from 2024 to 2027 are 16%, 11%, and 11% [6] - The price-to-earnings ratio is projected to be 15x, 14x, and 12x for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [6]
颐海国际(01579):2024年业绩点评:B端扩张亮眼,利润承压待破局