CRCC(601186) Huachuang Securities·2025-03-31 11:03Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Recommendation" rating to the company, with a target price of 10.0 CNY per share for 2025, based on a 6x PE valuation [2][9]. Core Views - The company's revenue for 2024 is reported at 1,067.17 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 6.22%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders is 22.22 billion CNY, down 14.87% year-on-year [2][9]. - The decline in revenue is primarily attributed to decreases in engineering contracting and real estate business [9]. - The company has a substantial backlog of contracts, amounting to 7.68 trillion CNY, which is approximately 720% of its revenue, ensuring future revenue stability [9]. - The gross margin slightly decreased to 10.27%, with an increase in interest-bearing debt impacting net profit [9]. Financial Summary - Revenue and Profit Forecasts: - 2024 Revenue: 1,067,171 million CNY, down 6.2% YoY - 2024 Net Profit: 22,215 million CNY, down 14.9% YoY - EPS Forecasts: 1.67 CNY in 2025, 1.70 CNY in 2026, 1.73 CNY in 2027 [4][10]. - Contractual Performance: - New contracts signed in 2024 totaled 3.04 trillion CNY, achieving 101.20% of the annual target, but down 7.80% YoY [9]. - Breakdown of new contracts by business segment shows varied performance, with green environmental contracts increasing by 24% YoY [9]. - Debt and Financial Ratios: - The company’s debt-to-equity ratio is projected to rise, with total liabilities reaching 1,440.25 billion CNY in 2024 [10]. - The asset-liability ratio stands at 77.31% [6]. - Market Performance: - The company’s stock price has fluctuated between 10.26 CNY and 6.83 CNY over the past 12 months [6]. Conclusion - The report indicates that while the company faces short-term revenue pressures, its substantial backlog and strategic focus on emerging industries position it for potential recovery and growth in the coming years [9].