GAC GROUP(601238) Guohai Securities·2025-03-31 13:21Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [1][9]. Core Views - The company's performance is under pressure during the transformation period, awaiting recovery in autonomous profitability [2]. - The company reported a revenue of 107.78 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 17.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 0.82 billion yuan, down 81.4% year-on-year [4][5]. Summary by Sections Recent Performance - The company's stock performance over the last year shows a decline of 3.0% over one month, 9.2% over three months, and 2.1% over twelve months, compared to the CSI 300 index [3]. - The current stock price is 8.48 yuan, with a 52-week price range of 7.07 to 10.84 yuan [3]. Sales and Profitability - In 2024, the company's overall sales were under pressure, with self-owned brands performing better than joint ventures. The self-owned brand sales reached 790,000 units, a decrease of 10.9% year-on-year, accounting for 39.4% of total sales [5]. - The joint venture brands saw significant declines, with GAC Honda and GAC Toyota sales down 26.5% and 22.3% respectively [5]. - The total revenue for 2024 was 107.78 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 2.2%, down 0.5 percentage points year-on-year due to intensified market competition [5]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is advancing its smart and international strategies, including a partnership with Huawei to establish a new brand targeting high-end customers, and a significant increase in overseas sales, which reached 127,000 units, up 67.6% year-on-year [5]. - The company is also exploring new technologies, launching a new flying car brand and humanoid robots [5]. Financial Forecast - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 143.2 billion yuan, 165.1 billion yuan, and 179.8 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 33%, 15%, and 9% respectively [8]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 1.78 billion yuan, 3.06 billion yuan, and 4.85 billion yuan for the same period, with growth rates of 116%, 72%, and 59% respectively [8].