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天味食品(603317):盈利水平持续改善,来年目标展望积极

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy/Maintain" with a target price of 17.68, compared to the last closing price of 13.90 [1]. Core Insights - The company's profitability continues to improve, with a positive outlook for the coming year. The 2024 annual report indicates a revenue of 3.476 billion, a year-on-year increase of 10.41%, and a net profit of 625 million, up 36.77% year-on-year. The fourth quarter saw a revenue of 1.112 billion, a 21.57% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 192 million, up 41.03% year-on-year [4][5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of 34.76 billion, with a net profit of 6.25 billion. The fourth quarter's revenue was 11.12 billion, with a net profit of 1.92 billion. The company also distributed a total dividend of 6.1 billion, representing a payout ratio of 97.62% [4][5]. - The company’s revenue from various product lines in 2024 was as follows: Chinese seasoning (1.771 billion, +16.6%), hot pot base (1.265 billion, +3.5%), and sausages and cured meats (329 million, +11.0%) [4][5]. - The company’s gross margin improved by 1.9 percentage points to 39.8%, while the sales expense ratio decreased by 2.4 percentage points to 13.0% [4][5]. Future Outlook - For 2025, the company aims for a revenue and profit growth of no less than 15%. The projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 39.89 billion, 44.35 billion, and 49.23 billion, with corresponding net profits of 7.2 billion, 8.2 billion, and 9.0 billion [5][7]. - The company plans to accelerate product innovation and expand its distribution channels, with new products expected to contribute to growth. The acquisition of online companies is aimed at enhancing online marketing advantages [5][7]. Valuation Metrics - The projected PE ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 21, 18, and 17, respectively. The target price is based on a 26x PE for 2025 earnings [5][7].