Guangzhou Restaurant(SH:603043) Huaxin Securities·2025-04-01 03:02Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [1][7]. Core Views - The company demonstrates steady revenue growth and brand momentum, with a reported revenue of 5.124 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a 5% year-on-year increase, while net profit decreased by 10% to 494 million yuan [4][5]. - The company is expected to benefit from a favorable market environment in 2025, particularly in the mooncake segment, which is projected to see revenue growth due to the upcoming "big year" for mooncakes [6][7]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 51.24 billion yuan, with a net profit of 4.94 billion yuan, and a decrease in net profit margin to 4.26% [4][5]. - The company’s gross margin decreased by 7 percentage points to 26.03% in Q4 2024, attributed to changes in product structure [5]. Product Segments - Mooncake revenue for 2024 was 1.636 billion yuan, down 2%, with sales volume at 16,000 tons [6]. - The frozen food segment generated 1.03 billion yuan in revenue, a 3% decrease, while the restaurant business grew by 15% to 1.455 billion yuan [6]. Earnings Forecast - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 1.00 yuan in 2025, 1.11 yuan in 2026, and 1.18 yuan in 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 16, 14, and 13 times [7][10].