Eastroc Beverage(SH:605499) Guotai Junan Securities·2025-04-01 02:59Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Dongpeng Beverage (605499) with a target price of 319.00 CNY, unchanged from the previous forecast [3][12]. Core Views - The new product "Fruit Tea" is rapidly gaining traction due to its competitive price-to-quality ratio, and the company is expected to continue high growth during the peak season [4][12]. - The company is projected to achieve significant revenue growth, with estimated revenues of 20,603 million CNY in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 30.1% [6][12]. - The report highlights the company's strong performance in March, with sales expected to exceed 70 million CNY, representing a month-on-month growth of over 130% [12]. - The upcoming Hong Kong listing is anticipated to support the company's global expansion strategy, enhancing its brand influence and market presence [12]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for Dongpeng Beverage are as follows: - 2023A: 11,263 million CNY - 2024A: 15,839 million CNY - 2025E: 20,603 million CNY - 2026E: 25,969 million CNY - 2027E: 31,919 million CNY - Net profit (attributable to the parent company) is expected to grow from 2,040 million CNY in 2023A to 7,130 million CNY in 2027E, with a compound annual growth rate of 25.5% [6][12]. - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2025 is 8.52 CNY, with a projected increase of 33.2% year-on-year [6][12]. Market Data - The current stock price is 248.97 CNY, with a 52-week price range of 184.78 CNY to 286.00 CNY [7][12]. - The total market capitalization is approximately 129,468 million CNY [7][12]. - The company has a net asset return rate (ROE) projected to reach 54.7% by 2027 [6][12].