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华鲁恒升(600426):2024年年报点评:业绩表现符合预期,荆州达产贡献增量

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative performance increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark index within the next 6 to 12 months [18]. Core Views - The company's 2024 annual report shows a revenue of 34.23 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.90 billion yuan, up 9.1% year-on-year [3][4]. - The successful ramp-up of the Jingzhou project has significantly contributed to sales growth, with notable increases in the sales volume of various products, including chemical fertilizers and acetic acid derivatives [4]. - The company is focused on cost control and efficiency improvements, with a period expense ratio of 3.8% in 2024, slightly down from the previous year [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved an operating income of 34.23 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 25.6% [3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.90 billion yuan, reflecting a 9.1% increase year-on-year [3][4]. - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw an operating income of 9.05 billion yuan, up 14.3% year-on-year and 10.3% quarter-on-quarter [3]. Business Segments - The company reported significant sales growth in its new energy materials, chemical fertilizers, and organic amines, with year-on-year increases of 44.5% and 116.7% respectively [4]. - The successful production ramp-up of the Jingzhou project has led to a substantial increase in sales volume, contributing to the overall revenue growth [4]. Cost Management - The company has implemented measures to control costs, resulting in a slight decrease in the period expense ratio to 3.8% [4]. - Financial, management, and research expenses have shown varied changes, with financial expenses increasing slightly while management and research expenses decreased [4]. Future Outlook - The company has ongoing projects that are expected to enhance production capacity and drive future growth, including the amine resin and nylon 66 high-end materials projects [4]. - Profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted to 4.07 billion yuan and 4.45 billion yuan respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 at 4.75 billion yuan [4].