CEA(600115) 国海证券·2025-04-01 14:09Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1][10]. Core Insights - The company achieved a significant reduction in losses year-on-year, with a reported net profit of -4.23 billion yuan for 2024, compared to -8.17 billion yuan in 2023, indicating a substantial improvement in performance [4][10]. - The company is expected to see revenue growth from 132.12 billion yuan in 2024 to 154.55 billion yuan by 2027, with corresponding net profits projected to turn positive by 2025 [9][10]. - The report highlights the recovery of overseas capacity and a notable increase in passenger load factor, which rose to 82.8% in 2024, an increase of 8.4 percentage points year-on-year [5][10]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported operating revenue of 132.12 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.1% [4]. - The operating cost for 2024 was 126.5 billion yuan, reflecting a 12.48% increase, but the seat kilometer cost decreased by 7.2% [6]. - The financial expenses decreased to 5.84 billion yuan in 2024, down by 6.9 billion yuan from the previous year, with interest expenses significantly reduced [6][10]. Future Projections - The company plans to increase its fleet size at a compound annual growth rate of 4.5% from 2024 to 2027, with a total of 804 aircraft by the end of 2024 [7][8]. - Forecasts for 2025-2027 indicate a net profit of 2.26 billion yuan in 2025, 4.11 billion yuan in 2026, and 7.87 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding P/E ratios decreasing from 35.79 to 10.28 [9][10].