Zhonggu Logistics(603565) 东兴证券·2025-04-02 03:23Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Zhonggu Logistics, indicating a positive outlook for the company's performance in the near term [2][5]. Core Views - Zhonggu Logistics achieved a revenue of 11.258 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 9.49%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders reached 1.835 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.88% [3]. - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a significant increase in net profit, reaching 727 million yuan, up 38.3% year-on-year, driven by a rebound in domestic freight rates and an increase in foreign trade rental income [3]. - The company reported a non-recurring profit of 736 million yuan in 2024, up 7.9% from the previous year, primarily due to gains from the sale of vessels [4]. - The dividend payout ratio for 2024 was over 90%, with a total dividend of 1.66 billion yuan, reflecting the company's commitment to returning value to shareholders [5]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for 2024 was 11.258 billion yuan, down 9.49% from 2023, while net profit was 1.835 billion yuan, up 6.88% [12]. - The company expects net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 1.772 billion, 1.883 billion, and 2.060 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.84, 0.90, and 0.98 yuan [5][12]. - The financial expenses decreased significantly to -24 million yuan in 2024, compared to 127 million yuan in 2023, mainly due to increased interest income from US dollars [4]. Market Position and Outlook - Zhonggu Logistics is recognized as a leading domestic container logistics company in China, with a strong focus on domestic coastal container transportation [6]. - The report anticipates that domestic freight rates will stabilize and improve, while foreign trade rental income may continue to benefit from geopolitical tensions affecting shipping routes [5].