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吉利汽车(00175):系列点评二十三:新能源持续亮眼,规模效应驱动盈利改善

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company reported a total wholesale sales volume of 232,000 vehicles in March, representing a year-on-year increase of 53.9% and a month-on-month increase of 13.3% [1][2] - The cumulative wholesale sales for the first three months reached 704,000 vehicles, up 47.9% year-on-year, with new energy vehicle sales showing significant growth of 135.4% year-on-year [2][4] - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 3.58 billion yuan in Q4 2024, exceeding market expectations, with a gross margin of 17.3% [2][4] - The establishment of Zeekr Technology Group aims to enhance strategic focus and integration, targeting a total sales volume of 710,000 vehicles by 2025 [3][4] - The company is accelerating its AI technology integration, which is expected to boost product sales and reshape its valuation [4] Financial Forecasts - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 14.02 billion yuan, 17.78 billion yuan, and 20.38 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.39, 1.76, and 2.02 yuan [5][8] - Revenue is expected to grow significantly, with forecasts of 364.78 billion yuan in 2025, 439.69 billion yuan in 2026, and 512.83 billion yuan in 2027 [5][8] - The company’s P/E ratios are projected to be 11, 9, and 8 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation trend [5][8]