Darbond Technology (688035) 浙商证券·2025-04-02 08:28Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [7] Core Views - The company is a leader in high-end packaging materials and is expected to restart high growth, with rapid growth anticipated in smart terminal and integrated circuit packaging materials, alongside a turning point in profitability for new energy application materials [1] - The market previously expected the company's growth to be moderate due to a high proportion of revenue from new energy application materials and unclear growth potential in smart terminal and integrated circuit packaging materials [2] - The report argues that the company is entering a turning point in short-term operations, with expected performance exceeding market expectations and significant long-term growth potential [2] Summary by Sections Section 1: Super Expected Logic - The company has significant room for import substitution in smart terminal and integrated circuit packaging materials, with ongoing mass shipments in various fields such as wafer UV film materials and thermal interface materials [2] - The LIPO technology is expected to penetrate quickly, creating new demand for photosensitive resin, representing a new growth point for the company [2] - The high proportion of revenue from new energy application materials is expected to gradually improve gross margins [2] - The consolidation of Taijino is anticipated to expand solutions for AI data centers and robotics, leading to rapid growth [2] Section 2: Verification Indicators and Catalysts - Key verification indicators include the penetration rate of LIPO technology and the growth rates of revenue and net profit [3] - Potential catalysts include frequent releases of LIPO terminals, the company's layout in AI data centers and robotics, and performance exceeding expectations [3] Section 3: Research Value - The report presents a unique perspective, arguing that the market underestimates the growth potential of packaging materials due to their variety and low value, as well as the complexity of application fields [4] - The company is positioned as a platform company in packaging materials, with strong R&D capabilities and significant market space for import substitution, particularly in high-end packaging materials where foreign companies dominate [4] - The growth rhythm of the company will depend on the cyclical stages of various downstream fields, with expectations for rapid growth in smart terminals and integrated circuits by 2025, alongside improvements in gross margins for new energy packaging materials [4] Section 4: Profit Forecast and Valuation - Revenue forecasts for 2024-2026 are projected at 1.17 billion, 1.51 billion, and 1.85 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 25%, 29%, and 23% respectively [5] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 100 million, 170 million, and 250 million yuan for the same period, with growth rates of -6%, 72%, and 48% respectively [5] - The target price is set at 52.89 yuan, based on a PE ratio of 45 times for 2025, compared to an average PE of 55 times for comparable companies [5]