CCCC(601800) 国信证券·2025-04-02 09:43Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [3][5][16]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 771.94 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 1.7%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 23.384 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.8% [1][6]. - New contract value reached 1.8812 trillion yuan, up 7.3% year-on-year, with overseas new contracts amounting to 359.7 billion yuan, reflecting a 12.5% increase [1][6]. - The company’s gross margin slightly declined to 12.29%, down 0.30 percentage points year-on-year, with a notable drop in Q4 gross margin to 11.90%, down 4.14 percentage points [1][8]. - The company actively reduced its investment scale, resulting in a net cash flow from operating activities of 12.51 billion yuan, an increase of 3.6% year-on-year, and an estimated free cash flow of 88.93 billion yuan, up 44.7% [2][11]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Revenue for 2024 is projected at 771.944 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 1.7% [4]. - The net profit for 2024 is forecasted at 23.384 billion yuan, reflecting a slight decline of 1.8% [4]. - Earnings per share are expected to be 1.44 yuan for 2024, with a PE ratio of 6.35 [4][16]. Cash Flow and Investment - The company’s cash flow from operating activities improved to 12.51 billion yuan, with a cash conversion rate of 41.2% [2][11]. - Capital expenditure for 2024 is projected at 30.75 billion yuan, a decrease of 28.3% year-on-year [2][11]. - The collection and payment ratios reached their highest levels in nearly a decade, at 96.76% and 97.05%, respectively [2][11]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is positioned as a leading player in the infrastructure sector, benefiting from major national strategic projects [3][16]. - The report anticipates further improvement in cash flow and asset quality due to prudent investment management [3][16].