农业银行（601288）2024年年报点评：利润中个位数增长，个人经营贷打造零售增长极

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Buy" rating for Agricultural Bank of China (601288) [1][4][20] Core Views - Agricultural Bank of China achieved a revenue growth of 2.3% year-on-year and a net profit growth of 4.7% in 2024, maintaining its leading position among the six major banks [4] - The bank's financial performance in Q4 2024 showed significant improvement compared to the previous quarters, with revenue growth accelerating by 4.21 percentage points to 5.50% and net profit growth increasing by 5.83 percentage points to 9.21% [4] - The bank's asset quality remains controllable, with a non-performing loan ratio of 1.30% at the end of Q4 2024, a slight decrease from the previous quarter [6][7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, Agricultural Bank of China reported total revenue of 710.56 billion yuan and a net profit of 282.08 billion yuan [4][10] - The bank's total assets reached over 43.23 trillion yuan, reflecting an 8.4% year-on-year growth [4] - The bank's loan balance grew by 10.1% year-on-year, while deposit growth was 4.9% [4] Business Strategy - The bank is focusing on enhancing its county-level financial services, with a 5.4% year-on-year increase in revenue from this segment [5] - Personal business loans have seen a remarkable growth of 35.0% year-on-year, contributing significantly to the bank's loan growth [5] - The bank plans to allocate over 70% of its new branches to county and rural areas, emphasizing support for rural revitalization [5] Profitability Forecast - The report forecasts revenue for 2025-2027 to be 715.61 billion yuan, 761.91 billion yuan, and 818.54 billion yuan, with respective growth rates of 0.71%, 6.47%, and 7.43% [8][10] - Net profit is projected to reach 285.83 billion yuan, 298.83 billion yuan, and 316.67 billion yuan for the same period, with growth rates of 1.33%, 4.55%, and 5.97% [8][10] - The bank's earnings per share (EPS) is expected to increase from 0.77 yuan in 2025 to 0.86 yuan in 2027 [8][10]