HDPI(600027) 华源证券·2025-04-03 01:02Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is upgraded to "Buy" due to significant growth in main business profits despite a decline in investment income [5]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the company's main business profits have increased significantly, while investment income has decreased year-on-year. The expected net profits for 2025-2027 are projected to be 65.3 billion, 71.6 billion, and 77.4 billion RMB respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 9, 8, and 7 times [6][9]. Financial Performance Summary - The company achieved a revenue of 112.99 billion RMB in 2024, a decrease of 3.57% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 5.703 billion RMB, an increase of 26.11% year-on-year [9]. - The average on-grid electricity price was approximately 511.7 RMB/MWh, down 1.01% year-on-year, and the total fuel cost decreased by 6.49% due to lower coal prices [9]. - The company’s coal-fired power generation hours decreased significantly, primarily due to the impact of renewable energy and electricity demand [9]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecasted operating income for 2025 is 106.639 billion RMB, with a projected net profit of 6.529 billion RMB, reflecting a growth rate of 14.48% [8]. - The report suggests that the company’s stock is currently undervalued, and if coal prices continue to decline, there is potential for greater earnings elasticity [6][9]. Dividend Information - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.21 RMB per share for 2024, with a payout ratio of approximately 45.7% [9].