INNOCARE(688428) 长城国瑞证券·2025-04-03 01:23Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and the rating has been maintained [2][3] Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 1.009 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 36.68%, with drug sales revenue reaching 1.006 billion yuan, up 49.74% [3] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was a loss of 440 million yuan, narrowing by 30% [3] - The first commercialized product, the BTK inhibitor Obutinib, saw sales exceed 1 billion yuan in 2024, growing by 49.14% year-on-year, driven by multiple factors including its inclusion in the national medical insurance catalog [4] - The company is advancing its self-developed ADC platform, with the first IND submission expected within the year [2][4] Financial Performance and Forecast - Revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected at 1.411 billion yuan, 1.702 billion yuan, and 2.058 billion yuan respectively, with net profits expected to be losses of 427 million yuan, 355 million yuan, and 235 million yuan [9][11] - The company is expected to continue benefiting from the growth of Obutinib and the anticipated approval of Tafasitamab, which is expected to contribute to revenue in 2025 [9][11] Clinical Development - The company has initiated a registration Phase III clinical trial for ICP-248 in combination with Obutinib for the treatment of 1L CLL/SLL, with promising clinical data reported [5] - The company is also exploring multiple indications in the autoimmune field, with ongoing clinical trials for Obutinib in treating PPMS, SPMS, and ITP [6] - The second-generation TRK inhibitor ICP-723 has shown a high overall response rate of 85.5% in clinical trials and is expected to submit an NDA soon [8] Market Position and Future Prospects - The company is positioned to expand its market presence with the anticipated approval of Tafasitamab and the ongoing development of its ADC platform targeting difficult-to-treat solid tumors [4][9] - The strong commercial capabilities and the positive clinical outcomes of its products are expected to drive future growth [4][9]