CTG DUTY-FREE(601888) 国信证券·2025-04-03 01:48Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][15]. Core Views - The company's actual performance for 2024 aligns with previous reports, with a revenue of 56.474 billion yuan, down 16.38%, and a net profit of 4.267 billion yuan, down 36.44% [10][15]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.05 yuan per share, maintaining a dividend payout ratio of over 50% [10][15]. - The company is experiencing pressure in its Hainan operations but has increased its market share through product adjustments [2][11]. - The company benefits from the recovery of international passenger traffic, with significant revenue growth in airport stores [2][11]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's revenue was 56.474 billion yuan, a decrease of 16.38%, and the net profit was 4.267 billion yuan, a decline of 36.44% [9][10]. - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 13.453 billion yuan, down 19.46%, and a net profit of 348 million yuan, down 76.93% [10][15]. - The gross profit margin for the main business was 31.5%, with a slight increase of 0.15 percentage points [3][12]. Market Dynamics - The company's sales in Hainan decreased by 27% to 28.9 billion yuan, with specific stores in Sanya and Haikou experiencing declines of 28% [2][11]. - The company's tax-free sales revenue decreased by 16%, while the taxable sales revenue fell by 23% [2][11]. - The company has gained nearly 2 percentage points in market share despite the challenging environment [2][11]. Future Outlook - The company is advised to monitor the recovery pace of overall consumption, especially in Hainan, as sales figures show signs of marginal improvement [4][14]. - The company has secured the operating rights for six new city duty-free stores, which are expected to contribute to future growth [4][14]. - The company maintains a strong position in the market with its multi-channel strategy, including Hainan, airports, online, and city stores [15].