Yonyou(600588) Zhao Yin Guo Ji·2025-04-03 02:23Investment Rating - The report maintains a HOLD rating for Yonyou, with a target price (TP) raised to RMB14.49 from RMB9.08, reflecting a 5.3x 2025E EV/sales valuation, in line with its two-year average [1][3][9]. Core Insights - Yonyou's total revenue for 2024 was RMB9.2 billion, a decrease of 7% year-over-year (YoY), primarily due to postponed customer demand and a strategic shift towards a subscription business model [1][2]. - The net loss attributable to ordinary shareholders increased to RMB2.1 billion in 2024 from RMB967 million in 2023, driven by revenue decline, employee compensation, and goodwill impairment provisions [1][2]. - Management aims for significant loss reduction in 2025 by enhancing labor productivity and improving product delivery quality and efficiency [1]. - Despite a positive long-term outlook due to increasing digitalization demand and international expansion plans, caution is advised in the near term due to already priced-in market sentiment following a 40% stock price increase year-to-date [1][9]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2025 and 2026 have been lowered by 18% to RMB9.982 billion and RMB11.081 billion, respectively, reflecting slower-than-expected growth in large and mid-sized enterprises [9][10]. - The gross profit margin is expected to improve to 55.0% in 2025, up from 47.5% in 2024, while the operating margin is projected to remain negative at -5.3% [10][16]. - The number of employees decreased by 15% YoY to 21,283, which is anticipated to enhance labor productivity and operational efficiency [9][10]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The revenue for 2025 is estimated at RMB9.982 billion, with a YoY growth of 9.1%, followed by RMB11.081 billion in 2026, representing an 11.0% growth [2][15]. - The net profit is projected to improve to a loss of RMB426 million in 2025, narrowing from a loss of RMB2.061 billion in 2024, and is expected to turn positive with a profit of RMB768 million by 2027 [2][15]. Market and Share Performance - Yonyou's market capitalization stands at RMB51.22 billion, with a current share price of RMB14.99, reflecting a slight downside of 3.4% from the target price [3][4]. - The stock has shown a strong performance with a 47.4% increase over the past three months [6].