Tsingtao Brewery(600600) 信达证券·2025-04-03 07:16Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [2][3] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 32.14 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 5.3% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 4.35 billion yuan, an increase of 1.81% year-on-year [2] - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 3.18 billion yuan, an increase of 7.44% year-on-year, with sales volume rising by 5.61% to 750,000 kiloliters [2] - The company’s main brand sales volume in Q4 2024 increased by 7.45%, indicating a positive growth trend [2] - The company’s gross profit margin improved to 40.2% in 2024, up by 1.57 percentage points year-on-year, due to a decrease in operating costs [2][3] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2024 was 32.14 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of -5.3% [3] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2024 was 4.35 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 1.8% [3] - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 40.2%, an increase from 38.7% in 2023 [3] - The company’s EPS (Earnings Per Share) for 2024 was 3.19 yuan, with a projected EPS of 3.48 yuan for 2025 [3] Future Earnings Forecast - The company is expected to have EPS of 3.48 yuan in 2025, 3.96 yuan in 2026, and 4.39 yuan in 2027 [2][3] - The projected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 23, 20, and 18 times, respectively, based on the closing price of 78.51 yuan per share on April 2, 2025 [2]