Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected investment return exceeding 15% over the next 6-12 months [5]. Core Insights - The company is projected to achieve a revenue of 36.2 billion RMB in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9.2%. However, the core net profit is expected to decline by 4.8% to 2.23 billion RMB [1][2]. - The company emphasizes shareholder returns with a dividend payout ratio of 100%, distributing a total of 2.23 billion RMB in dividends for the year [3][2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For 2024, the company expects revenues from residential property services, commercial property and facility management, and urban services to reach 19.2 billion, 10 billion, and 760 million RMB, respectively, with growth rates of 13.1%, 20.1%, and 10.9% [2]. - The total revenue for 2024 is projected at 36.2 billion RMB, with a gross profit of 4.7 billion RMB, a decrease of 2.4% year-on-year [1][4]. Risk Management - The company has effectively reduced risks associated with real estate by maintaining trade receivables from related parties at 2.45 billion RMB, unchanged from 2023, and has made provisions for impairment of 260 million RMB [2]. - The company has engaged in asset transfer transactions with related parties to mitigate existing receivables, totaling 1.2 billion RMB in 2024 [2]. Shareholder Returns - The company reported a net cash flow from operating activities of 1.9 billion RMB in 2024, with cash and cash equivalents amounting to 13.4 billion RMB at year-end [3]. - The dividend per share for 2024 is set at 1.9 RMB, fully covering the core net profit [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to have a net profit of 1.15 billion RMB in 2024, with subsequent estimates of 1.64 billion RMB in 2025 and 2.09 billion RMB in 2026 [4]. - The forecasted price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 15, 12, and 11 times, respectively, indicating a stable growth outlook [3][4].
万物云：跟踪报告：地产关联风险降低，业绩增长保障性较强-20250403