CCB(601939) 华创证券·2025-04-03 10:14Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with a target price of 10.13 CNY / 7.91 HKD [6][10]. Core Views - The bank's net interest margin has increased against the trend, and retail loan growth has shown marginal improvement. The bank reported a total operating income of 750.15 billion CNY for 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 2.5%, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 0.88% to 335.58 billion CNY [2][10]. - The asset quality remains stable, with a non-performing loan ratio decreasing by 1 basis point to 1.34%, and the provision coverage ratio declining by 3.4 percentage points to 233.6% [2][10]. Financial Performance Summary - 2024 Financial Indicators: - Total operating income: 750,151 million CNY, down 2.54% year-on-year - Net profit attributable to shareholders: 335,577 million CNY, up 0.88% year-on-year - Earnings per share: 1.29 CNY - Price-to-earnings ratio: 6.82 [5][10]. - Future Projections: - Revenue growth forecast for 2025-2027 is adjusted to 0.3%, 4.2%, and 5.6% respectively, with net profit growth forecasted at 1.1%, 2.0%, and 3.8% [10][11]. Asset Quality and Loan Growth - The bank's asset quality is on an improving trend, with a non-performing loan ratio of 1.34% and a net generation rate of non-performing loans at 0.41% [10][11]. - Retail loan growth has improved marginally, with a year-on-year increase of 8.3% in Q4 2024, while corporate loan growth has slowed [10][11]. Interest Margin and Cost Management - The net interest margin increased by 4 basis points to 1.49% in Q4 2024, primarily due to a reduction in funding costs [10][11]. - The bank's cost of interest-bearing liabilities decreased by 14 basis points to 1.72% [10][11].