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兴发集团(600141):2024年报点评:计提影响全年业绩略低预期,加大分红努力回报投资者

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company's net profit increased year-on-year due to the recovery in the agricultural chemical market, with enhanced profitability in phosphate rock, phosphate fertilizer, and glyphosate products. However, Q4 performance was slightly below expectations due to a provision of approximately 355 million yuan [2] - The company has seen an increase in production and sales across its main products, with significant growth in special chemicals, glyphosate series, fertilizers, and organic silicon series. The company has also increased its cash dividend to 10 yuan per 10 shares (including tax), up from 6 yuan last year, resulting in a dividend yield of approximately 4.6% [3] - The company is investing 1.495 billion yuan to build a new 100,000 tons/year industrial silicon project, which will enhance its raw material supply for the organic silicon industry and improve operational efficiency [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 28.396 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.41%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.601 billion yuan, up 14.33% year-on-year. The net profit after deducting non-recurring items was 1.600 billion yuan, an increase of 21.79% year-on-year [1][10] - For Q4 2024, the company reported revenue of 6.346 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.70%, but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 26.60%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 287 million yuan, down 35.82% year-on-year and 43.63% quarter-on-quarter [1] Product Performance - The production volumes for special chemicals, glyphosate series, fertilizers, and organic silicon series were 530,400 tons, 266,000 tons, 1,353,000 tons, and 270,700 tons respectively, with year-on-year increases of 6.85%, 65.84%, 11.29%, and 38.32%. Sales volumes were 514,100 tons, 244,800 tons, 1,281,300 tons, and 250,100 tons, with year-on-year increases of 14.40%, 42.82%, 3.36%, and 33.53% [3] Market Outlook - The phosphate fertilizer market remains strong, and the demand for new energy battery materials is increasing, which supports the demand for phosphate resources. The company is focusing on increasing its phosphate mining capacity significantly over the next five years [5][9]