CMPort(001872) 浙商证券·2025-04-06 06:17Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [3] Core Views - The company's revenue growth in 2024 is primarily driven by an increase in container throughput and the consolidation of the Indonesian NPH project. The total global throughput reached 195 million TEU, reflecting an 8.3% increase, which is higher than the average growth rate of domestic ports [1] - The company has strengthened its domestic hub position, with the Shenzhen West Port area achieving a throughput of 15.99 million TEU, up 17.7%, and foreign trade market share exceeding 50% [1] - The company has also seen significant contributions from overseas projects, with notable performances from Brazil's TCP (+24.3%), Togo's LCT (+3.9%), and Djibouti's PDSA (+47.9%). The newly acquired Indonesian NPH contributed an additional 417,000 TEU since July [1] - The company has effectively controlled operating costs, resulting in a 1.3% decrease in operating costs year-on-year, leading to an increase in gross profit by 500 million yuan and a gross margin of 43.0%, up 2.15 percentage points [1] - The proposed cash dividend of 0.74 yuan per share for 2024 represents a dividend payout ratio of 40.8%, the highest in eight years, with a dividend yield of 3.7% [1] Financial Summary - The company forecasts revenue of 161.31 billion yuan for 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 2.41%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 45.16 billion yuan, reflecting a 26.44% increase [4] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 1.81 yuan for 2024, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 11.03 [4] - The company anticipates net profits of 47.56 billion yuan, 49.8 billion yuan, and 52.27 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [3][4] Industry Outlook - The company's global network is expected to continue deepening, with the full-year consolidation of the Indonesian NPH and the ramp-up of HIPG's container business. The throughput growth for Terminal Link is projected to be 5.7% year-on-year in 2024 [2] - The RCEP benefits are expected to persist, with Southeast Asian ports likely to maintain high growth rates, further solidifying the company's hub positions in the Pearl River Delta and Yangtze River Delta regions [2]