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山东高速(600350):24年业绩符合预期,济菏改扩建完工
600350SDHS(600350) 华泰证券·2025-04-06 07:40

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [7] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 28.5 billion RMB in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 7.34%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.196 billion RMB, a decrease of 3.07% year-on-year. The net profit for Q4 was 681 million RMB, an increase of 8.08% year-on-year. The proposed dividend is 0.42 RMB per share, maintaining a dividend yield of 4.0% [1][2][3] - The company’s toll revenue decreased by 6% in 2024, with a gross profit margin decline of 9%. The traffic volume increased by 3%, but the toll revenue was negatively impacted by factors such as insufficient freight demand and policy exemptions [2][3] - Investment income increased by 2.3% to 1.4 billion RMB, contributing 26% to pre-tax profit. The information group saw a net profit increase of 17.89%, while the rail transit group experienced a decline in net profit [3][4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 28.5 billion RMB and a net profit of 3.196 billion RMB. The earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is projected at 0.55 RMB, with a return on equity (ROE) of 10.73% [6][20] - The company expects net profits of 3.483 billion RMB and 3.766 billion RMB for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with a target price adjustment to 12.02 RMB based on a 19.7x 2025 PE ratio [4][12] Business Segments - The main highway business faced challenges with a 6% decline in toll revenue, attributed to increased exemptions and competition from parallel roads. The freight segment remains sensitive to macroeconomic conditions [2][3] - The investment segment showed resilience with a 2.3% increase in investment income, while the rail transit segment's profit declined by 3.6% [3][4] Valuation - The target price of 12.02 RMB reflects a premium based on the company's high dividend yield compared to peers. The previous target price was 9.41 RMB [4][12]