SERES(601127) 国信证券·2025-04-06 13:45Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][3][29] Core Views - The company achieved a significant revenue growth of 305% year-on-year in 2024, with total revenue reaching 145.18 billion yuan and a net profit of 5.946 billion yuan, marking a turnaround from losses [1][9] - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw revenue of 38.549 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 101.18%, although it experienced a quarter-on-quarter decline of 7.29% [1][9] - The company maintains a high gross margin, with an annual gross margin of 26.15% and a fourth-quarter gross margin of 28.70% [1][9][13] - The company is focused on high R&D investment while gradually controlling sales expenses, with a fourth-quarter R&D expense ratio of 3.16% and a sales expense ratio of 13.52% [2][16] Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company reported total revenue of 145.18 billion yuan, with a gross profit of 37.97 billion yuan and a net profit margin of 4.10% [1][9] - The company expects revenue projections for 2025-2027 to be 1800 billion yuan, 2003 billion yuan, and 2250 billion yuan respectively, with net profits of 94.25 billion yuan, 121.85 billion yuan, and 149.04 billion yuan [3][29] - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 6.24 yuan, 8.07 yuan, and 9.87 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3][29] Sales and Product Performance - The core product, the "Wenjie" series, is expected to achieve annual sales of 389,100 units in 2024, with fourth-quarter sales of 96,600 units [2][18] - The M9 model maintained a high sales ratio of 49.70% in the fourth quarter, with sales of 49,330 units [2][18] - The company reported an increase in single-vehicle revenue and gross profit, with fourth-quarter single-vehicle revenue at 399,100 yuan and gross profit at 114,500 yuan [20][2] Valuation and Market Position - The company is valued at a reasonable market capitalization of 216.8 billion to 235.6 billion yuan, with a corresponding share price valuation of 144 to 156 yuan [3][29] - The company is positioned in the luxury car market, benefiting from high gross margins and a strong competitive edge compared to mainstream manufacturers [26][27]