SDHS(600350) 中泰证券·2025-04-06 13:40Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative increase of over 15% in the stock price compared to the benchmark index within the next 6 to 12 months [6]. Core Views - The company is projected to achieve a revenue of 28.49 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.34%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to decline by 3.07% to 3.20 billion yuan [4][5]. - The company is actively expanding its core business through road asset upgrades and acquisitions, which are anticipated to contribute to future growth [4]. - The company plans to maintain a stable dividend payout of 0.42 yuan per share, resulting in a dividend yield of approximately 4.0% based on the current stock price [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a total revenue of 28.49 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 7% [2]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2024 is projected at 3.20 billion yuan, down 3% from the previous year [2][4]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is estimated to be 0.66 yuan, with a slight decline expected in subsequent years [2][5]. Revenue Sources - The company’s toll revenue for 2024 is expected to be 9.93 billion yuan, a decrease of 5.95% year-on-year, primarily due to traffic diversion from new road openings [4]. - The core toll revenue from the Jiqing Expressway is projected to be 3.17 billion yuan, down 12.12% year-on-year, while the revenue from the Jingtai Expressway is expected to grow slightly by 0.10% [4]. Investment and Expansion - The company has invested 2.59 billion yuan in road asset upgrades in 2024, with significant progress reported in various construction projects [4]. - The company has also acquired a 20% stake in Luzhou Southeast Company, achieving full control, and has won a bid for the remaining concession rights of the He Bao Expressway [4]. Valuation Metrics - The projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 14.8X, 14.0X, and 13.2X, respectively, based on the current stock price of 10.41 yuan [2][4]. - The report anticipates a stable return on equity (ROE) of 6% over the forecast period [2][5].