Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company experienced a revenue increase of 30.62% year-on-year in 2024, reaching 12.711 billion yuan, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 21.35% to 5.322 billion yuan, with a non-recurring net profit decline of 4.66% to 4.858 billion yuan [1][2] - The investment operation segment saw significant revenue growth of 52.85% year-on-year, contributing 96.86 billion yuan, which accounted for 76.20% of total revenue [2] - The smart transportation segment faced challenges, leading to a revenue drop of 46.97% to 4.37 billion yuan, negatively impacting overall performance [3] - The company’s overall gross margin decreased to 34.09%, down 2.87 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to increased expenses from the consolidation of China Merchants Railway [4] - The company plans to distribute cash dividends amounting to 28.44 billion yuan, with a dividend payout ratio of approximately 53.44% [6] - The company is positioned as a leading highway operation platform, with a focus on both core highway assets and the development of the transportation industry chain [7] - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 estimate net profits of 5.886 billion yuan, 6.311 billion yuan, and 6.646 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 15.0, 14.0, and 13.3 [8] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 12.711 billion yuan, a 30.6% increase from 2023, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 5.322 billion yuan, reflecting a 21.3% decrease [9] - The gross margin for 2024 was 34.1%, down from 37.0% in 2023 [9] Segment Analysis - The investment operation segment generated 96.86 billion yuan in revenue, with a gross profit of approximately 40.56 billion yuan, despite a decline in gross margin due to adverse weather and increased free passage days [2] - The smart transportation segment's revenue fell to 4.37 billion yuan, with a gross loss of 0.48 billion yuan, significantly impacting overall performance [3] Dividend Policy - The company has maintained a high dividend payout, with a proposed cash dividend of 4.17 yuan per 10 shares, resulting in a total distribution of 28.44 billion yuan [6] Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with a focus on expanding its highway assets and enhancing its transportation technology capabilities [7] - The projected net profits for the next three years indicate a steady growth pattern, reinforcing the positive outlook for the company's financial health [8]
招商公路（001965）：多因素影响24年业绩承压，扣非利润下降4.66%