YTL(000960) 民生证券·2025-04-07 12:28Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [7][63]. Core Views - The company is a global leader in the tin and indium industry, with excellent resource endowments. Supply-side disruptions are ongoing, and the demand side is recovering steadily, which is expected to drive tin prices upward. The company is likely to benefit significantly from the rising tin prices [5][63]. - The company achieved a revenue of 41.973 billion yuan in 2024, a slight decrease of 0.91% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 2.55% to 1.444 billion yuan. The non-recurring net profit saw a substantial increase of 40.48% to 1.943 billion yuan [12][5]. Summary by Sections 1. Event: Company Releases 2024 Annual Report - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 41.973 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.91%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.444 billion yuan, up 2.55% year-on-year, while the non-recurring net profit was 1.943 billion yuan, up 40.48% year-on-year. The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 12.760 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 46.64% [12][5]. 2. Commentary: Tin Supply Disruptions Drive Price Increases - The company’s revenue from tin ingots was 14.724 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 34.11%. The revenue from copper products was 8.586 billion yuan, up 9.45%, while zinc products generated 2.946 billion yuan, up 13.87% [16][5]. - The company’s total non-ferrous metal production reached a historical high of 361,000 tons in 2024, with tin production at 84,800 tons [2][18]. 3. Key Highlights: Global Leader in Tin and Indium Industry - The company holds a significant market share in the domestic and global tin markets, with a domestic market share of 47.98% and a global market share of 25.03% in 2023 [43][5]. - The company has signed strategic cooperation agreements with major players to enhance its resource integration capabilities and ensure stable raw material supply [46][5]. 4. Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is expected to benefit from ongoing supply-side disruptions and a steady recovery in demand, with projected net profits of 2.371 billion yuan, 2.506 billion yuan, and 2.553 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [63][5].