Workflow
保利物业(06049):2024年业绩公告点评:收入业绩稳健增长,分红率提升

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4][14] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 16.342 billion RMB in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 8.5%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.474 billion RMB, up 6.8% year-on-year [5][7] - The company is focusing on cost reduction and efficiency improvement while expanding the quality of its services [4][6] - The company proposed a final dividend of 1.332 RMB per share, increasing the payout ratio from 40% to 50% of net profit attributable to shareholders [7][11] Revenue Performance - The company reported a revenue of 16.342 billion RMB for 2024, with a year-on-year growth rate of 8% projected for 2025 and 2026 [4][8] - The revenue increase was primarily driven by the continuous expansion of property management services [7][10] Profitability Metrics - The gross profit margin slightly declined from 19.61% in 2023 to 18.26% in 2024, with specific service segments experiencing varying degrees of margin compression [7][10] - The net profit margin for 2024 was 9.0%, with a projected decline in return on equity (ROE) from 16% in 2024 to 13.2% by 2027 [4][13] Business Segmentation - The property management service segment generated 11.675 billion RMB in revenue, reflecting a 15% year-on-year increase, while non-owner value-added services saw a revenue decline of 6.4% [8][10] - The company secured new third-party project contracts worth 3.005 billion RMB in 2024, with a significant portion of its managed area coming from third-party projects [8][10] Future Earnings Forecast - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted to 2.88 RMB and 3.09 RMB, respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 set at 3.33 RMB [10][13]