前10大资金净流出榜 | 股票名称 | 净流出(元)↓ | 净流出比 | 收盘价 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 小米集团-W(01810) | -7.21 亿 | -10.12% | 56.200（+1.90%） | | 信达生物(01801) | -4.66 亿 | -24.07% | 95.600（-2.30%） | | 泡泡玛特(09992) | -4.58 亿 | -5.14% | 259.000（-6.43%） | | 理想汽车-W(02015) | -2.98 亿 | -11.78% | 97.550（+4.56%） | | 建设银行(00939) | -2.54 亿 | -14.42% | 7.750（-1.65%） | | 中国生物制药(01177) | -2.38 亿 | -21.78% | 8.720（+1.04%） | | 阿里健康(00241) | -2.04 亿 | -17.77% | 6.940（-1.00%） | | 中金公司(03908) | -2.02 亿 | -31.21% | 21.080（-1.31%） | | 腾讯控股(00700) | ...

行业指数 证券研究报告 | 行业深度报告 2025 年 09 月 17 日 销售及新开工等数据承压，关注巩固房地产市场止跌回稳的有力措施 房地产行业最新观点及 25 年 1-8 月数据深度解读 周期/房地产 8 月单月新开工面积基期调整同比增速为-20.3%（较上月减少 4.8pct），8 月单月新开工同比继续回落，根据拿地对新开工的领先关系，维持判断"下 半年新开工同比整体呈先升后降趋势，同比峰值有望接近正负零"；中期角 度，考虑到增量项目对应资产负债表略微扩张，存量项目对应资产负债表持 续收缩，判断整体开工投资或呈现一个"W 底"的震荡过程，短期难以出现 V 型反转； 8 月单月开发投资金额基期调整同比增速为-19.5%（较上月减少 2.4pct）， 当前施工面积仍在下滑，但投资同比较施工面积同比下滑更快，或反映房企 施工强度较弱，其背后或受销售市场热度持续走弱影响销售回款，压制经营 性支出导致；判断短期内房企施工强度或难以出现明显反弹，结合施工规模 收缩判断建安投资仍持续承压，进而影响整体开发投资； 推荐（维持） 行业规模 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数（只 ...

从一二线重点35城表现来看，2025年8月新房价格同环比均降多增少，环比角度上海、杭州等7城实现上涨，同比角度上海、杭州等5 城上涨，其中上海以环比+0.4%、同比+5.9%领跑35城。一线城市中仅上海实现新房价格同环比实现增长。新房1-8月整体同比情况方 面，上海、太原分别以同比+5.8%、+1.1%领跑35城。 投资建议 2025年8月，70城新房销售价格环比降幅持平，同比降幅缩小，一线城市新房价格降幅缩小；二手房方面销售价格环比降幅扩大，同 比降幅缩小。我们认为，今年以来我国房地产市场整体朝着止跌回稳的方向迈进，在止跌回稳的过程中，房价仍可能存在小幅度震 荡，期待后续在政策作用下，房地产市场进一步稳定。在更加积极的财政政策、适度宽松的货币政策下，存量收储及城中村改造工 作有望加速推进，改善现有住房供求关系，加快止跌回稳进程。推荐标的：（1）布局城市基本面较好、善于把握改善型客户需求的 强信用房企：绿城中国、招商蛇口、中国海外发展、建发股份、滨江集团、建发国际集团；（2）住宅与商业地产双轮驱动，同时受 益于地产复苏和消费促进政策：华润置地、新城控股、龙湖集团；（3）"好房子，好服务"政策下服务品质突出的优 ...

房地产行业跟踪周报 房地产 证券研究报告 行业投资策略周报 / 2025.09.15 投资评级:看好(维持) 最近 12 月市场表现 0% 11% 22% 34% 45% 56% 房地产 沪深300 上证指数 分析师 房诚琦 SAC 证书编号：S0160525090002 fangcq@ctsec.com 分析师 何裕佳 SAC 证书编号：S0160525090001 heyj@ctsec.com 相关报告 1. 《地产政策博弈交易的有效性为何逐渐走 弱？》 2025-09-05 2. 《地产新视角：城市扩张对房地产销售的 挑战与影响》 2025-04-11 3. 《2025 年两会政府工作报告点评》 2025-03-05 新房成交同比上升，持续推进存量土地盘活 核心观点 请阅读最后一页的重要声明！ | 1 | 板块观点 5 | | --- | --- | | 2 | 房地产基本面与高频数据 6 | | 2.1 | 房产市场情况 6 | | 2.2 | 土地市场情况 10 | | 2.3 | 房地产行业融资情况 11 | | 3 | 行情回顾 13 | | 4 | 行业政策跟踪 15 | | 5 | 投资建议 ...

行 业 及 产 业 房地产 2025 年 09 月 15 日 看好 ——房地产 1-8 月月报 相关研究 - 袁豪 A0230520120001 yuanhao@swsresearch.com 曹曼 A0230520120003 caoman@swsresearch.com 联系人 曹曼 (8621)23297818× caoman@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 本期投资提示： ⚫ 投资端：投资低位继续走弱，开工降幅扩大、竣工降幅收窄。从 2025 年 1-8 月累计来 看，投资同比-12.9%，较前值-0.9pct；新开工同比-19.5%，较前值-0.1pct；施工同比- 9.3%，较前值-0.1pct；竣工同比-17.0%，较前值-0.5pct。8 月单月来看，投资同比- 19.5%，较前值-2.4pct；开工同比-20.3%，较前值-4.8pct；竣工同比-21.4%，较前值 +8.0pct。我们认为，目前房地产行业投资端依然较弱，尤其短期拿地偏弱，并考虑到本 轮周期中供给主体的过度出清及补库存的困难，从而导致后续投资仍将处于偏弱状态， 并且预计投资修复 ...

业 及 产 业 房地产 2025 年 09 月 10 日 好房子的另类破局之道，引领核心城市五重共振 看好 ——好房子专题报告系列之三 本期投资提示： ⚫ 风险提示：销售和融资资金趋紧，收储和城改推进不及预期。 究 / 行 业 深 度 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 袁豪 A0230520120001 yuanhao@swsresearch.com 陈鹏 A0230521110002 chenpeng@swsresearch.com 联系人 陈鹏 (8621)23297818× chenpeng@swsresearch.com 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 行 行 业 研 ⚫ 行业现状：房地产基本面的困境和政策面的约束。基本面，房地产经历了 4 年深度调整 后，目前行业广义需求总量已经见底，二手房的扩容对冲了新房的缩量，一二手房合计 成交已持续稳定 3 年多，问题关键不在于需求、而在于购买力。但二手房成交持续放量 并没能推动房价止跌回稳，楼市"量在价先"的历史经验失效，这源于中产走弱导致的 置换链不畅，从而造成"二手房刚需化+新房改善化"的格局 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate industry [4][6]. Core Insights - Shenzhen has followed Beijing and Shanghai in relaxing purchase restrictions, with a more significant impact expected compared to the latter cities [11]. - The overall performance of the real estate sector has lagged behind the broader market, with the Shenwan Real Estate Index down 1.5% this week, ranking 24th among 31 sectors [12]. - New home sales in 30 cities totaled 1.488 million square meters this week, reflecting a 17.9% decrease month-on-month and an 11.2% decrease year-on-year [23]. - The report emphasizes the importance of policy-driven changes in the real estate market, suggesting that the current policy environment is more robust than in previous cycles [4]. Summary by Sections Real Estate Development - Shenzhen's new policy has narrowed the scope of purchase restrictions, with only specific areas remaining under strict limits [11]. - The report anticipates that the marginal effects of Shenzhen's new policy will be more pronounced than those in Beijing and Shanghai [11]. Market Review - The Shenwan Real Estate Index has decreased by 1.5%, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 0.67 percentage points [12]. - A total of 49 stocks in the real estate sector increased in value this week, while 62 stocks declined [12]. New Home and Second-Hand Home Transactions - New home sales in first-tier cities increased by 4.4% month-on-month, while second-tier cities saw a 23.3% decrease [23]. - Second-hand home transactions in 14 sample cities totaled 1.719 million square meters, with a year-on-year increase of 13.0% [34]. Credit Bonds - Eight credit bonds were issued by real estate companies this week, totaling 8.69 billion yuan, with a net financing amount of -1.24 billion yuan [42]. - The majority of bonds issued were rated AAA, indicating a strong credit quality among issuers [42]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on real estate stocks due to the expected policy-driven recovery and the early-cycle nature of the real estate market [4]. - Recommended companies include major players in both A-shares and H-shares, as well as local state-owned enterprises and property management firms [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate sector [1] Core Views - The relaxation of purchase restrictions in Shenzhen has led to a month-on-month increase in new home transactions, while year-on-year sales remain lower [1][8] - The report highlights that the real estate market is in a recovery phase, with ongoing policy support expected to bolster demand [8] - Key companies with strong financials and performance are recommended for investment, including Yuexiu Property, China Merchants Shekou, Poly Developments, and others [8] Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Market Review - The Shenwan Real Estate Index fell by 1.48%, underperforming the CSI 300 Index, which declined by 0.81% [5][13] 2. Industry Fundamentals - For the week of August 29 to September 4, new home sales in 38 monitored cities totaled 25,688 units, a year-on-year decrease of 10.4% but a month-on-month increase of 5.3% [6][21] - The total transaction area for new homes was 2.425 million square meters, with a year-on-year decrease of 17.7% and a month-on-month increase of 5.3% [6][21] - In the same period, second-hand home sales in 16 monitored cities reached 15,607 units, showing a year-on-year increase of 5% but a month-on-month decrease of 13.3% [6][38] 3. Land Market Analysis - Land supply for the week was 36.101 million square meters, a year-on-year increase of 29.3%, with an average price of 1,808 yuan per square meter [7] - Land transactions totaled 23.902 million square meters, with a year-on-year increase of 43% and a transaction value of 30.78 billion yuan, up 61.7% year-on-year [7] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on financially stable leading real estate companies that can effectively navigate market fluctuations, as well as property management firms that may see performance recovery [8]

Core Insights - The report from the China Index Academy highlights the expansion of the top 50 property service companies in China, with a total new contract area of approximately 54.9 million square meters in August 2025, averaging 1.1 million square meters per company [1][2]. Group 1: Top 50 Companies by New Contract Area - China Resources Vientiane Life Co., Ltd., Shanghai Yongsheng Property Management Co., Ltd., and Shimao Service Holdings Co., Ltd. are leading the expansion, each exceeding 5 million square meters in new contract area [1][2]. - The average new contract area for the top 50 companies is 1.1 million square meters, indicating a robust growth trend in the property service sector [1][2]. Group 2: Third-Party Market Expansion - The total third-party market expansion area for the top 50 property service companies reached 47.14 million square meters in August 2025, with an average of 940,000 square meters per company [6][7]. - Shanghai Yongsheng Property Management Co., Ltd. and China Resources Vientiane Life Co., Ltd. led the third-party market expansion with areas of 563,000 square meters and 557,000 square meters, respectively [6][7]. Group 3: Associated Area Analysis - The total area contracted from associated developers by the top 50 companies was approximately 9.86 million square meters, with an average of 200,000 square meters per company [12]. - Companies like Wuhan Urban Services Group Co., Ltd., China Overseas Property Management Co., Ltd., and Poly Property Services Co., Ltd. are expected to add over 700,000 square meters to their managed area due to support from parent companies [12]. Group 4: City Service Bidding - In August 2025, the top five companies in city service bidding included Shenzhen Jindi Property Management Co., Ltd. with a winning bid of 47.48 million yuan, followed by Shenzhen Xinghe Zhishan Life Co., Ltd. and China Overseas Property Management Co., Ltd. [13][14]. - The report notes significant wins in city service projects, particularly for Shenzhen Jindi Property Management Co., Ltd. in the public affairs center project in Pingshan District, Shenzhen [14].

FF301 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年8月31日 狀態: 新提交 呈交日期: 2025年9月2日 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 保利物業服務股份有限公司（於中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司） I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 06049 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 347,000,090 | RMB | | 1 | RMB | | 347,000,090 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | RMB | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 347,000,090 | RMB | | 1 | RMB | | 347,0 ...