BNBMPLC(000786) 华源证券·2025-04-08 09:24Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (首次覆盖) [1] Core Views - The company is positioned as a leading player in the gypsum board industry, backed by China National Building Material Group, and is transitioning into a comprehensive building materials manufacturer and service provider [5] - The company has established a strong competitive moat in the gypsum board sector, achieving a market share of approximately 56% by 2024, which provides a stable cash flow even during industry downturns [5] - The company's strategic acquisitions in the waterproofing and coating sectors have significantly contributed to its revenue growth, enhancing its credibility as a leader in consumer building materials [5] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 22,426 million RMB - 2024: 25,821 million RMB (growth of 15.14%) - 2025E: 27,344 million RMB (growth of 5.90%) - 2026E: 28,961 million RMB (growth of 5.91%) - 2027E: 31,137 million RMB (growth of 7.51%) [4] - Net profit forecasts are: - 2023: 3,524 million RMB - 2024: 3,647 million RMB (growth of 3.49%) - 2025E: 4,025 million RMB (growth of 10.36%) - 2026E: 4,362 million RMB (growth of 8.39%) - 2027E: 4,805 million RMB (growth of 10.14%) [4] - Earnings per share (EPS) estimates are: - 2023: 2.09 RMB - 2024: 2.16 RMB - 2025E: 2.38 RMB - 2026E: 2.58 RMB - 2027E: 2.84 RMB [4] Market Position and Strategy - The company has successfully implemented a dual-wing strategy through significant acquisitions in the waterproofing and coating sectors, enhancing its market position and revenue streams [5] - The waterproofing segment is expected to generate revenue of 3.322 billion RMB in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 19.23% [5] - The coating business has expanded to a production capacity exceeding 1 million tons, with strategic acquisitions enhancing its competitive advantage [5]