Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is steadily advancing its various businesses and continuously expanding its cigarette export operations [4] - The company has signed a framework agreement with a subsequent contracting party, Mongkun Company, to expand its cigarette export business [4] - The company has applied for and received approval from the Stock Exchange to amend existing exemptions to cover the framework agreement with the subsequent contracting party [4] Business Performance - The cigarette export business is one of the company's main operations, achieving a volume of 3,339.7 million cigarettes in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 19.1% [5] - The revenue from cigarette exports reached 1,573.6 million HKD in 2024, up 30.2% year-on-year, accounting for 12% of total revenue [5] - The gross profit from cigarette exports was 277.4 million HKD, reflecting a 69.1% year-on-year increase and representing 20% of total gross profit [5] - The growth in the company's cigarette business is attributed to expanding operational regions, enhancing tax-inclusive business, and optimizing product mix [5] Financial Projections - The company is expected to generate total revenues of 143.96 billion HKD, 156.48 billion HKD, and 169.00 billion HKD for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 10%, 9%, and 8% [6] - The projected net profit attributable to the parent company is 9.39 billion HKD, 10.44 billion HKD, and 11.71 billion HKD for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with growth rates of 10%, 11%, and 12% [6] - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.36 HKD, 1.51 HKD, and 1.69 HKD respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 14.74, 13.26, and 11.82 [6] Key Financial Metrics - The company's total revenue for 2024 was 13,074 million HKD, with a year-on-year growth of 10% [9] - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to decrease from 28.41% in 2024 to 19.01% by 2027 [11] - The company's net profit margin is expected to remain stable, with a projected net profit margin of 6.53% for 2025 [11]
中烟香港：各业务稳步推进，持续拓展卷烟出口业务-20250408