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森松国际(02155):利润略低于预期,持续追踪订单恢复情况

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "OUTPERFORM" rating for Morimatsu International Holdings with a target price of HKD 6.96, reflecting a potential upside from the current price of HKD 4.67 [2][20]. Core Insights - The company's FY24 revenue was CNY 6.95 billion, a decrease of 5.6% year-on-year, primarily due to delays in project execution. However, the gross profit margin improved to 29.5%, up 1.6 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to better operational efficiency and material cost control [3][4][16]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 737 million, down 12.7% year-on-year, mainly impacted by accounts receivable impairment [17][20]. Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from Mainland China was CNY 2.75 billion, down 29.2% year-on-year, while overseas revenue reached CNY 4.20 billion, an increase of 20.8% year-on-year. Notably, North America saw a significant growth of 60.2% year-on-year [3][16]. - By segment, the oil and gas sector generated CNY 630 million (-35.2% y-y), while the power battery segment reported CNY 1.22 billion (+6.5% y-y) [22]. Order Backlogs - As of the end of FY24, the company had a backlog of CNY 8.1 billion, down from CNY 8.8 billion in the first half of 2024. The pharmaceutical sector accounted for CNY 2.3 billion of this backlog [5][18]. - New orders for FY24 totaled CNY 6.0 billion, with a notable decline of 11.3% in the second half of the year [5][18]. Valuation Adjustments - Due to weak backlog growth, revenue forecasts for FY25 and FY26 have been revised down to CNY 7.77 billion and CNY 8.47 billion, respectively, indicating growth rates of 11.8% and 9.1% year-on-year [8][20]. - The net profit forecasts for FY25 and FY26 have also been adjusted to CNY 872 million and CNY 939 million, suggesting growth rates of 18.3% and 7.7% year-on-year [8][20].