CYPC(600900)2025-04-09 02:35Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's electricity generation is steadily increasing, supported by favorable water inflow conditions and a decline in the ten-year government bond yield, which opens up space for dividend benchmarks [8] - The average yield of ten-year government bonds has decreased to 1.66%, enhancing the attractiveness of the company's dividend yield, which is projected at 3.20% for 2024 [8] - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 32.52 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 19.39% [8] Financial Forecasts - Total revenue is projected to grow from 78.11 billion yuan in 2023 to 85.88 billion yuan in 2026, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 2.5% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to increase from 27.24 billion yuan in 2023 to 35.43 billion yuan in 2026, with a CAGR of about 8.5% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from 1.11 yuan in 2023 to 1.45 yuan in 2026 [1] Market Data - The closing price of the company's stock is 29.05 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 710.80 billion yuan [5] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 26.10 in 2023 to 20.06 in 2026, indicating an improving valuation [1][9] Operational Performance - In Q1 2025, the company's total electricity generation reached approximately 576.79 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 9.35% [8] - The water inflow levels for key reservoirs have improved, providing a solid foundation for increased electricity generation throughout the year [8]