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中国海油(600938):公司事件点评报告:油气产量和储量双增,成本持续下降
600938CNOOC(600938) 华鑫证券·2025-04-09 05:21

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) [1] Core Views - CNOOC achieved record high oil and gas production and reserves in 2024, with a total production of 727 million barrels of oil equivalent, representing a year-on-year increase of 7.2% [5] - The company has demonstrated strong cost control, with the average oil equivalent cost decreasing to 28.52perbarrel,maintainingacompetitiveedgeinprofitability[5]CNOOCscapitalexpenditurefor2024reachedRMB132.7billion,aimedatsustainingproductiongrowthandinfrastructureinvestment[6][7]Thecompanyhasshownresilienceagainstexternalchallenges,maintainingstableoperationsandproposingadividendofHKD0.66persharefor2024[8]Profitforecastsfor20252027indicateasteadygrowthinnetprofit,withestimatesofRMB150billion,RMB159.7billion,andRMB173.1billionrespectively[9]SummarybySectionsMarketPerformanceCNOOCsstockpriceiscurrentlyatRMB24.34,withamarketcapitalizationofRMB115.69billion[1]FinancialHighlightsIn2024,CNOOCreportedtotalrevenueofRMB420.51billion,ayearonyearincreaseof0.9428.52 per barrel, maintaining a competitive edge in profitability [5] - CNOOC's capital expenditure for 2024 reached RMB 132.7 billion, aimed at sustaining production growth and infrastructure investment [6][7] - The company has shown resilience against external challenges, maintaining stable operations and proposing a dividend of HKD 0.66 per share for 2024 [8] - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 indicate a steady growth in net profit, with estimates of RMB 150 billion, RMB 159.7 billion, and RMB 173.1 billion respectively [9] Summary by Sections Market Performance - CNOOC's stock price is currently at RMB 24.34, with a market capitalization of RMB 115.69 billion [1] Financial Highlights - In 2024, CNOOC reported total revenue of RMB 420.51 billion, a year-on-year increase of 0.94%, and a net profit of RMB 137.94 billion, up 11.38% from the previous year [4] Production and Cost Management - The company achieved a total oil and gas production of 727 million barrels of oil equivalent, with a sales volume of 563 million barrels, reflecting a 9.4% increase in demand [5] - The average realized oil price was 76.75 per barrel, a decrease of approximately 1.6% year-on-year, while the average realized natural gas price was $7.72 per thousand cubic feet, down 3.3% [5] Capital Expenditure and Future Outlook - CNOOC plans to maintain a capital expenditure level similar to 2024 to support production growth, with a target production of 760 to 780 million barrels of oil equivalent for 2025 [7] Profitability and Shareholder Returns - The company aims to maintain a dividend payout ratio of no less than 45% from 2025 to 2027, enhancing shareholder returns [8]