越秀地产（00123）：业绩承压，销售目标积极

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [4][25][29] Core Views - The company experienced a significant decline in net profit, with a 67% year-on-year decrease, resulting in a net profit of 1 billion yuan for 2024, despite an 8% increase in revenue to 86.4 billion yuan [1][7][25] - The company has a robust land reserve, with a total land bank of 19.71 million square meters, and aims to achieve a sales target of 120.5 billion yuan in 2025, which would represent a 5% year-on-year growth if achieved [1][13][25] - Financially, the company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a debt-to-asset ratio of 68.1% and a net debt ratio of 51.7% as of the end of 2024, indicating stable financial health [2][20] Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company is projected to generate revenue of 86.4 billion yuan, with a net profit of 1 billion yuan, reflecting a 67% decline in net profit compared to the previous year [3][22] - The company's core net profit is expected to be 1.6 billion yuan in 2024, down 54% year-on-year [1][7] - The company’s sales area is expected to decrease by 12% to 3.92 million square meters in 2024, with a sales amount of 115.4 billion yuan, also a 12% decline [1][13] Future Earnings Forecast - The company’s revenue is forecasted to reach 89.1 billion yuan in 2025 and 91.4 billion yuan in 2026, with corresponding net profits of 1 billion yuan for both years [22][23] - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.25 yuan in 2025 and 0.24 yuan in 2026, with price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 15.7 and 15.9 respectively [25][27]