GRI(SH:600894) Guohai Securities·2025-04-09 13:58Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][10]. Core Views - The company has demonstrated stable operational performance with a focus on high dividends, achieving a cash dividend payout ratio of 144% in 2024, resulting in a dividend yield of 9.25% [9][10]. - The company is expected to benefit from the growth of Hitachi Elevator and the upward trend in its main businesses, including elevator assembly and after-market services [9]. Summary by Sections Recent Performance - In 2024, the company reported revenue of 7.26 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.68%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 812 million yuan, an increase of 6.56% [5]. - The gross margin was 15.42%, up by 1.02 percentage points, and the net profit margin was 10.95%, up by 1.19 percentage points [5]. Business Segments 1. Hitachi Elevator: - Revenue from Hitachi Elevator (China) was 27.56 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.1%, with net profit of 3.32 billion yuan, down by 4.5% [6]. - The company received an investment income of 726 million yuan from Hitachi Elevator, a decrease of 6.6% [6]. 2. Elevator Components and Logistics: - Revenue was 3.96 billion yuan, a decrease of 0.5%, with a gross margin of 7.24% [6]. - The company made progress in expanding its customer base and product offerings [6]. 3. Complete Elevator Business: - The company sold 28,700 elevators in 2024, an increase of 1%, with revenue of 3.1 billion yuan, a decrease of 2% [6]. - The gross margin for this segment was 25.08%, an increase of 2.19 percentage points [6]. 4. After-Market Services: - The company benefited from policies promoting the installation and replacement of elevators in old buildings, with a year-on-year increase of 63% in renovation orders [7]. - The self-maintenance rate for elevators exceeded 20%, with plans to increase this through various strategies [7]. Financial Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 7.623 billion yuan in 2025, 8.053 billion yuan in 2026, and 8.490 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding net profits of 871 million yuan, 947 million yuan, and 1.030 billion yuan respectively [8][9]. - The expected P/E ratios for the next three years are 11, 10, and 9 times [9].