Zoomlion(SZ:000157) HUAXI Securities·2025-04-09 14:25Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company has shown stable performance in 2024, with a slight revenue decline of 3.4% year-on-year, totaling 45.48 billion yuan, while net profit increased by 0.4% to 3.52 billion yuan [3] - The company's internationalization strategy has been effective, with overseas revenue reaching 23.38 billion yuan, a growth of 30.58%, marking a significant shift as overseas revenue now accounts for 51.4% of total revenue [4] - The company is expected to benefit from a recovery in domestic demand, particularly in non-excavation machinery, and is enhancing its digital applications to improve operational efficiency [4] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a gross margin of 28.17%, an increase of 0.63 percentage points from the previous year, driven by higher overseas revenue and improved margins in specific product segments [3] - The company forecasts revenue for 2025 and 2026 to be 53.1 billion yuan and 60.37 billion yuan, respectively, with net profit estimates of 5.05 billion yuan and 6.31 billion yuan [5] - Earnings per share (EPS) is projected to rise from 0.58 yuan in 2025 to 0.87 yuan in 2027, reflecting a positive growth trajectory [5] Segment Performance - The high-altitude machinery and agricultural machinery segments performed well in 2024, with revenues of 6.83 billion yuan and 4.65 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth of 19.7% and 122.3%, respectively [3] - The earthmoving machinery segment remained stable, while the crane and concrete machinery segments faced revenue declines due to weaker domestic demand [3] Valuation and Earnings Forecast - The company’s price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 12.3, 9.9, and 8.3 times, respectively, indicating an attractive valuation [5] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is expected to improve from 6.2% in 2024 to 9.9% by 2027, reflecting enhanced profitability [7]