CYPC(SH:600900) Changjiang Securities·2025-04-10 02:45Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7]. Core Views - The company's hydropower operational performance outlook is positive due to improved water inflow, with a total power generation of approximately 57.679 billion kWh in the first quarter of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 9.35% [2][6]. - The expected dividend yield has reached a high point, with the difference between the expected dividend yield and the yield of ten-year government bonds reaching the 93rd percentile since 2023, highlighting the company's investment value as a stable dividend model [2][6]. Summary by Sections Event Description - The company reported a total power generation of approximately 57.679 billion kWh from its six domestic hydropower stations in the first quarter of 2025, which is a 9.35% increase compared to the same period last year [6]. Event Commentary - The improved water inflow has led to a robust increase in power generation, with specific power generation figures for major stations: - Wudongde Station: 6.546 billion kWh, up 9.90% - Baihetan Station: 12.574 billion kWh, up 17.10% - Xiluodu Station: 13.202 billion kWh, up 8.47% - Xiangjiaba Station: 7.040 billion kWh, up 9.39% - Three Gorges Station: 14.793 billion kWh, up 5.55% - Gezhouba Station: 3.524 billion kWh, up 2.74% [6]. - The company anticipates strong performance in the first quarter despite external electricity price adjustments, supported by stable hydropower generation and improved investment returns [6]. Financial Forecasts - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2024-2026 are projected to be 1.33 yuan, 1.34 yuan, and 1.45 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 21.81, 21.69, and 20.03 [6].