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安琪酵母:主业需求改善,盈利修复在途-20250410

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with expected growth in net profit for the years 2025 to 2027 being 26%, 15%, and 14% respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 18x, 16x, and 14x [4] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 15.197 billion RMB for 2024, representing an 11.90% year-on-year growth, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.325 billion RMB, which is a 4.28% increase year-on-year [1] - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 4.285 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 9.07%, and a net profit of 371 million RMB, reflecting a 3.60% increase year-on-year [1] - The yeast business showed improved demand with a revenue growth of over 20% in Q4, with total revenue from yeast and deep processing products reaching 10.85 billion RMB, a 14.2% increase year-on-year [2] - The company expects a 10% revenue growth target for 2025, driven by the recovery in domestic demand and expansion in overseas markets [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For 2024, the company achieved a gross margin of 23.5%, with a slight year-on-year decrease of 0.7 percentage points, while the gross margin for Q4 was 24.2%, showing a 1.1 percentage point improvement [3] - The company’s net profit margin for 2024 was 8.7%, which is at a historical low, down by 0.4 percentage points year-on-year [3] Revenue Breakdown - The revenue from the yeast and deep processing products for 2024 was 10.85 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 14.2%, while the sugar segment saw a decline of 26.1% [2] - Domestic revenue for 2024 was 9.421 billion RMB, up 7.5% year-on-year, while international revenue reached 5.712 billion RMB, a 19.4% increase [2] Future Projections - The company projects net profits of 1.67 billion RMB, 1.91 billion RMB, and 2.18 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, indicating a strong growth trajectory [4] - The report highlights the potential for significant improvement in profitability in 2025 due to lower costs and optimized operations [3]