CHANGAN AUTOMOBILE-B(SZ:000625) Orient Securities·2025-04-10 10:23Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 17.43 CNY [2][5]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to the parent company of 59.47 billion CNY, 82.68 billion CNY, and 101.25 billion CNY for the years 2024-2026, respectively. The average PE valuation of comparable companies for 2025 is 21 times [2]. - The company has experienced significant growth in sales, particularly in its new energy vehicle segment, with notable increases in the sales of its brands Deep Blue and Avita [1][10]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue: The company reported revenues of 121.25 billion CNY in 2022, with projections of 151.30 billion CNY in 2023, 174.82 billion CNY in 2024, 194.29 billion CNY in 2025, and 213.01 billion CNY in 2026, reflecting a growth rate of 15.3% in 2022 and 24.8% in 2023 [4][11]. - Net Profit: The net profit attributable to the parent company was 7.80 billion CNY in 2022, expected to rise to 11.33 billion CNY in 2023, but projected to decline to 5.95 billion CNY in 2024 before recovering to 8.27 billion CNY in 2025 and 10.13 billion CNY in 2026 [4][11]. - Earnings Per Share (EPS): EPS is projected to be 0.79 CNY in 2022, increasing to 1.14 CNY in 2023, but expected to drop to 0.60 CNY in 2024, before rising to 0.83 CNY in 2025 and 1.02 CNY in 2026 [4][11]. - Profit Margins: The gross margin is expected to decrease from 20.5% in 2022 to 16.1% in 2024, before slightly recovering to 18.0% by 2026 [4][11]. - Return on Equity (ROE): The ROE is projected to decline from 13.2% in 2022 to 8.1% in 2024, with a recovery to 11.5% by 2026 [4][11].