GW COMPOS(300699) 东方证券·2025-04-10 11:10Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 31.59 CNY based on a 27x P/E ratio for 2025 [2][5]. Core Views - The company's performance in 2024 is expected to be impacted by the demand rhythm in the equipment business and a reduction in government subsidies, but growth is anticipated to resume in 2025 [1]. - The revenue for 2024 is projected to decline by 2.7% to 2.45 billion CNY, with a recovery expected in subsequent years, reaching 2.89 billion CNY in 2025, 3.37 billion CNY in 2026, and 3.95 billion CNY in 2027 [4][10]. Financial Forecasts - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 1.17 CNY in 2025, 1.35 CNY in 2026, and 1.59 CNY in 2027, with previous estimates adjusted downwards [2][4]. - The company’s gross margin is expected to stabilize around 48.3% in 2025, with net profit margins projected at 33.6% [4][10]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to recover to 970 million CNY in 2025, with further growth to 1.32 billion CNY by 2027 [4][10]. Revenue Breakdown - The report highlights a decline in carbon fiber revenue by 12.91% to 1.45 billion CNY, while carbon beam revenue increased by 25.81% to 537 million CNY [10]. - The T300 grade carbon fiber revenue is expected to drop significantly due to downstream equipment demand, while T800 grade revenue is projected to grow substantially as it begins mass supply [10]. Market Performance - The stock price as of April 8, 2025, was 27.46 CNY, with a 52-week high of 39.87 CNY and a low of 23.73 CNY [5]. - The company’s market capitalization is reported at 22.83 billion CNY [5].