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云天化(600096):扣非后净利润同比增长15.12%,拟派发现金分红总额25.52亿元(含税)

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [2][9]. Core Views - The company's recurring net profit increased by 15.12% year-on-year, with a planned cash dividend distribution of 2.552 billion yuan, accounting for 47.86% of the net profit attributable to the parent company [1][6]. - The company achieved an operating revenue of 61.537 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 10.89% [6][9]. - The report forecasts net profits for 2025-2027 to be 5.616 billion yuan (+18.83%), 5.883 billion yuan (+22.59%), and 6.172 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 3.06, 3.21, and 3.36 yuan per share [9]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported a net profit of 5.190 billion yuan, with a significant increase in recurring net profit [6][9]. - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw an operating revenue of 14.813 billion yuan, a sequential increase of 0.55% but a year-on-year decrease of 6.00% [6][9]. - Major products showed varied performance: - Phosphate fertilizer production was 5.0542 million tons, with a gross profit margin increase to 37.93% [7]. - Compound fertilizer production increased by 13.17%, with a revenue increase of 16.62% [7]. - Urea production increased by 9.87%, but revenue decreased by 2.71% [7]. - Polyoxymethylene production increased by 4.65%, with a slight revenue increase [7]. Production and Resource Advantages - The company has significant phosphate rock and coal resources, with phosphate rock reserves of nearly 800 million tons and a mining capacity of 14.5 million tons per year [8]. - The synthetic ammonia production capacity is 2.48 million tons per year, with a self-sufficiency rate exceeding 95% [8]. - The total fertilizer production capacity is 10 million tons per year, with additional capacities in feed-grade calcium phosphate salts and polyoxymethylene [8].