HLGF(SH:600346) Minsheng Securities·2025-04-11 11:10Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, with a target price of 15.22 CNY based on its strong operational performance and growth potential [5]. Core Insights - The company has established a comprehensive integrated layout across the entire industrial chain, enhancing its operational performance and dividend potential. In 2023, the company's revenue reached 234.9 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 5.62% [1][2]. - The company’s refinery has a higher proportion of heavy oil feedstock (60%), yet it maintains a leading complexity and processing depth in the industry, thanks to advanced technologies such as ebullated bed hydrocracking [2][46]. - The profitability of the company's products is expected to improve continuously, particularly in the aromatics and polyester segments, driven by a decrease in supply growth and low inventory levels [2][3]. Summary by Sections 1. Integrated Refining and Chemical Platform - The company has developed a "one drop of oil to all things" business layout, expanding from its origins in textile manufacturing to a comprehensive petrochemical platform [10]. - The company’s revenue has shown steady growth, exceeding 234.9 billion CNY in 2023, with a significant contribution from refining products, which accounted for over 51% of total revenue [23][17]. - The company has a strong cash position, with 27.7 billion CNY in cash as of Q3 2024, and is expected to reduce capital expenditure intensity, enhancing its dividend potential [26][30]. 2. Refinery Efficiency and Cost Advantages - The company’s refinery demonstrates a higher conversion rate and cost advantages, with a significant portion of heavy oil feedstock processed efficiently [2][46]. - The application of ebullated bed hydrocracking technology has significantly enhanced the refinery's competitiveness, allowing for higher conversion rates of heavy oil into more valuable products [55][52]. - The integration of coal chemical projects provides additional cost advantages, supplying hydrogen and other chemicals to the refinery [58][65]. 3. Profitability Improvement and Domestic Substitution - The company is expanding into new materials, with a focus on high-performance resins and biodegradable materials, which are expected to enhance its product offerings and reduce reliance on bulk chemicals [67]. - The aromatics segment has a significant production capacity of 4.5 million tons per year, with potential for profitability recovery as downstream demand improves [68]. - The polyester segment is poised for profitability improvement due to a slowdown in supply growth and low inventory levels, which is expected to drive demand [81][76].