HZBank(SH:600926) Guoxin Securities·2025-04-12 12:56Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Views - The company has demonstrated robust revenue growth, achieving a revenue of 38.38 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 9.6%, with a notable acceleration in growth compared to previous quarters [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 16.98 billion yuan, reflecting an 18.1% year-on-year growth, maintaining a high growth trajectory [1] - The company's return on average equity (ROAE) for 2024 is 16.00%, an increase of 0.43 percentage points year-on-year, indicating strong profitability compared to peers [1] - Non-interest income grew significantly by 20.2% year-on-year, with other non-interest income surging by 35.3%, benefiting from a substantial decline in interest rates [1] - The company has a high provision coverage ratio of 541.45%, providing ample room for future profit growth despite a slight decline from previous periods [3] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, interest income increased by 4.4% year-on-year, with a net interest margin of 1.41%, showing stability despite a slight decrease [2] - Total assets reached 2.1 trillion yuan, with total loans and deposits growing by 14.7% and 21.8% respectively compared to the beginning of the year [2] - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remained stable at 0.76%, with a slight improvement in overdue rates, indicating effective asset quality management [2] - The company has increased its write-off efforts, with approximately 5.5 billion yuan written off in 2024, which is 3 billion yuan more than the previous year [2] Earnings Forecast and Financial Indicators - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 20.43 billion yuan, 24.42 billion yuan, and 28.58 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 20.3%, 19.6%, and 17.0% [4] - The price-to-book (PB) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 0.73x, 0.63x, and 0.54x respectively, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [3][4] - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is expected to grow from 2.81 yuan in 2024 to 4.72 yuan in 2027, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [4][8]